Thursday, March 28, 2024

Bearish chart pattern hints at $70 Solana (SOL) price before a possible oversold bounce

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Solana (SOL) worth might fall to $70 per token within the coming weeks as a head and shoulders setup emerged on the each day timeframe and probably factors towards a forty five%+ decline.

The chart under reveals that SOL price rallied to almost $217 in September 2021, dropped to a help stage close to $134 after which moved to ascertain a brand new report excessive of $260 in November 2021. Earlier this week, the value fell again to check the identical $134-support stage earlier than breaking to a 2022 low at $87.73.

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SOL/USD weekly worth chart that includes head and shoulders setup. Supply: TradingView

This part of worth motion seems to have fashioned a head and shoulders setup, a bearish reversal sample containing three consecutive peaks, with the center one round $257 (known as the top) popping out to be increased than the opposite two across the $200 to $210 (left and proper shoulders).

In the meantime, SOL‘s three peaks have stood atop a standard help stage at $134, known as the neckline. A fall under it indicators an prolonged downtrend to the extent at size equal to the utmost distance between the top and the neckline.

In SOL‘s case, the gap is round $137, which places its head and shoulders worth goal at practically $170.

The pattern thus far

The bearish outlook got here as SOL worth dropped by greater than 22% this week and at the moment the altcoin is round 55% from its report excessive, a lot in step with different large-cap digital property together with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH). 

BTC/USD vs. ETH/USD weekly worth chart. Supply: TradingView

On the heart of the continuing crypto market decline is the USA Federal Reserve‘s resolution to unwind its $120 billion a month asset buying program adopted by three or extra rate of interest hikes unfold all through 2022.

The central financial institution‘s unfastened financial insurance policies had assisted in pumping the crypto market‘s valuation from $128 billion since March 2020 to as excessive as $3 trillion in Nov. 2021. Due to this fact, the proof of tapering has been influencing traders to restrict their publicity in over-pumped markets — together with Solana — which had gained practically 12,500% since March 2020.

Because of this, if the crypto market continues declining within the periods forward, SOL can even be susceptible to validating its head and shoulders setup.

SOL‘s brief time period outlook

Whereas SOL‘s longer timeframe chart leans towards a chronic bearish setup, its short-term outlook appears to be like comparatively bullish. 

Associated: Bitcoin dumps to hit six-month lows near $38K

SOL/USD each day worth chart. Supply: TradingView

That’s primarily attributable to two elements. First, SOL worth has fallen to a vital help stage of $116 which was instrumental in limiting its draw back makes an attempt in September 2021. And second, its each day relative power index (RSI) dropped to under 30 — a basic purchase sign.

The views and opinions expressed listed below are solely these of the creator and don’t essentially replicate the views of Cointelegraph.com. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails danger, you need to conduct your personal analysis when making a call.