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Bitcoin price has never lost more than 10% in July — Is 2023 different?

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Bitcoin (BTC) gained 12% in June, however one forecast sees the nice occasions quickly fading for bulls.

In a tweet on July 1, standard dealer CryptoBullet admitted that July may not provide far more BTC worth upside.

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Dealer: BTC worth rally “doubtless” ending this month

Regardless of a last-minute dive, thanks to a macro information occasion, Bitcoin managed to shut out the month of June in a stable place.

Information from Cointelegraph Markets Pro, TradingView and CoinGlass confirms that the month-to-month shut got here in at $30,465 on Bitstamp.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Supply: TradingView

These ranges proceed to carry into the weekend, with the previous month marking Bitcoin’s finest June efficiency since 2019.

By historic requirements, July seems to be even higher; all through its historical past, BTC worth motion has by no means misplaced greater than 10% throughout the month.

BTC/USD month-to-month returns (screenshot). Supply: CoinGlass

For CryptoBullet, nonetheless, “widespread sense” dictates that BTC/USD ought to fall beneath some key transferring averages.

“So, June shocked me. We received a reasonably bullish month-to-month shut: BTC examined the the MA50, bounced strongly and managed to regain the EMA21 !” he commented on the month-to-month chart.

“I can repeat what I stated: $BTC can go to 35k (to hunt liquidity), however this mid time period bullish rally is coming to an finish. Seemingly this month.”

BTC/USD annotated chart. Supply: CryptoBullet/Twitter

The idea of liquidity looking within the low $30,000 zone stays standard as a concept for worth continuation.

Amongst these monitoring it’s buying and selling suite DecenTrader, which this week underscored the leveraged quick positions stacked towards $35,000.

Battle of the month-to-month Bitcoin charts

Elsewhere, a broadly optimistic Rekt Capital was eager for what he known as a “wholesome technical retest” of ranges beneath $30,000 for Bitcoin, regardless of the month-to-month shut.

Associated: Bitcoin speculators send 35K BTC to exchanges in new ‘elation inflow’

“BTC has carried out a bullish Month-to-month shut however is primed for a wholesome technical retest at ~$29250,” he told Twitter followers on the day.

“With worth at the moment round $30500… I’m wondering what destructive catalyst will quickly emerge to facilitate this technical retest.”

Additional evaluation moreover argued that even when the BTC worth have been to snap beneath that draw back goal, it will represent nothing “out of the abnormal.”

“Effectively positioned for upside general,” Rekt Capital added.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Supply: Rekt Capital/Twitter

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This text doesn’t include funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails danger, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.